Economy

Report on the State Fiscal Year 2026 Enacted Budget and First Quarterly Financial Plans

New York State’s Financial Plan shows a growing structural budget deficit with a cumulative three-year budget gap of $34.3 billion, as forecasted by the Division of the Budget. The gap is up $7 billion since the January release of the Fiscal Year 2026 Executive Budget Financial Plan, and is attributable to downward revisions to the economic forecast and projected revenues, as well as increases in projected spending.

The Doctor is...Out: Shortages of Health Professionals in Rural Areas

This report examines healthcare professional shortages in 16 rural counties throughout New York, looking at a range of professionals, including those practicing primary care, dental health and mental health. Shortages exist in all counties examined, and some counties have no pediatricians or Ob/Gyn doctors at all. The ability to access health care is an essential quality of life issue. Without access, rural New Yorkers may have worse health outcomes, and if unaddressed, shortages will get worse.

Local Sales Tax Collections Up 3.7 Percent in the First Half of 2025

Sales tax collections for local governments and other local taxing entities in New York State totaled $11.9 billion in the first half of 2025, up 3.7 percent ($423 million) over the same period last year. Over the past few years, since the end of the dramatic pandemic-related swings in collections from 2020 to 2022, first-half sales taxes are showing similar patterns of growth as in the years following the recession-related dip in 2009. All of the state’s 10 regions saw year-over-year growth in first-half collections.

The Construction Sector in New York City: Post-Pandemic Trends

Despite having the fourth-largest construction sector in the nation, New York State is one of five states that have not recovered from pandemic job losses and a full recovery may take some time as construction businesses in New York City continue to face a variety of challenges, including softer demand for office space. This report provides an update to the Office of the New York State Comptroller’s report that found the COVID-19 pandemic had an outsized impact on the construction sector in New York City. 

Federal Actions Threaten to Exacerbate Rising Food Insecurity

Proposed federal changes to the Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program (SNAP), the nation’s largest program helping households obtain food, would increase costs to state governments, limit eligibility and reduce the value of future benefits. As an essential safety net program, SNAP benefits have traditionally been funded by the federal government; the proposed changes could weaken the program and lead to increased food insecurity in New York and nationally.

Homeownership Programs at the State of New York Mortgage Agency (SONYMA)

The State of New York Mortgage Agency (SONYMA) has boosted lending and programs for minority households and economically disadvantaged communities, increasing its share of loans provided to low-income and minority borrowers over the last 10 years, but wide racial and ethnic disparities persist in homeownership in New York. Improvements to data and reporting are needed so that policymakers have better information to evaluate outcomes and consider whether additional actions are needed, given rising housing burdens across the State.

New York City’s Uneven Recovery: Youth Labor Force Update

Young workers in New York City between the ages of 16-24 continued to face a high 13.2% unemployment rate in 2024, which was 3.6 points higher than in 2019 and higher than all other age groups. Potential federal funding cuts to education and workforce development grants, as well as a looming economic recession, may weaken job prospects for young people.

Local Sales Tax Collections Total $5.8 Billion, Up 3.2% in First Quarter

Local government sales tax collections totaled $5.8 billion in the first quarter (January-March) of 2025, an increase of 3.2% ($180 million) compared to the same quarter last year. Each of the 10 regions in the state, including New York City, had a year-over-year increase in collections. This marked the second straight year that first quarter growth was below the pre-pandemic average of 3.5%.| Regional Table [xlsx]

The Cost of Living in New York City: Food

Food prices in the New York City metropolitan area have risen 25.2% since 2019 and low-income households are paying substantially more toward food than before the pandemic. While food costs are affected by many factors, recent increases have been fueled by supply chain disruptions created by disruptive public health, severe weather and geopolitical events, which may continue in the near term.

Women and Persistent Pay Gaps in New York

Women in New York working full time earned 87.3 cents on the dollar compared to men in 2023, meaning they would have to work an extra 53 days into 2024 to make what New York men made at the close of 2023. The gender pay gap in New York is smaller than the national average of 81 cents on the dollar in 2023.